public opinion

Projecting Confidence: How the Probabilistic Horse Race Confuses and Demobilizes the Public

Horse race coverage in American elections has shifted focus from late-breaking poll numbers to sophisticated meta analytic forecasts that often emphasize candidates' probability of victory. We place this "probabilistic horeserace" in the context of …

Policy over party: comparing the effects of candidate ideology and party on affective polarization

At least two theories have been offered that explain the rise of affective polarization. Some scholars, relying on social identity theory, argue that as the relevance of party identification increased, Americans became more likely to see their …

Are Cultural and Economic Conservatism Positively Correlated? A Large-Scale Cross-National Test

The right–left dimension is ubiquitous in politics, but prior perspectives provide conflicting accounts of whether cultural and economic attitudes are typically aligned on this dimension within mass publics around the world. Using survey data from …